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LESSONS FROM WAR: Vance Calls Iran's Leadership Dangerously Irrational

September 1st,

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When asked what he'd taken away from months of war against Iran, Vice President JD Vance didn't mince words. "I think what I've learned is, these guys are really, really crazy," he told Fox News, referring to Iran's leadership. He went further, describing them as willing to do almost anything, without much strategic thinking behind it, in pursuit of one specific goal: choking off as much of the world's oil and gas flow as possible. It was a striking assessment from the sitting vice president, framing Iran's wartime behavior not as calculated strategy but as something closer to erratic desperation.

Vance elaborated on just how strange some of Iran's actions have looked from Washington's perspective. He pointed out that Iranian forces have, at times, fired on their own allies simply to disrupt the free flow of oil and gas through the region, a detail he described as genuinely puzzling given that such actions seem to undercut Iran's own interests as much as anyone else's. His comments came directly after new US strikes on Iranian military targets on Larak Island, which Vance said were carried out in response to Iranian efforts to lay mines in the Strait of Hormuz. He characterized much of the current American military effort in the region as focused less on offense and more on simply keeping commercial shipping lanes open and functioning.

The broader context here matters. The Strait of Hormuz has been a central flashpoint throughout the war, given that it serves as one of the most important oil transit corridors in the world, carrying roughly a fifth of global crude supply. Iran's threats to close the strait, and its parliament's vote to do exactly that after earlier US strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, sent global energy markets into turmoil and pushed gas prices higher for consumers well beyond the Middle East, including in the United States. Vance has previously called the idea of Iran actually closing the strait "suicidal" for its own economy, arguing that doing so would devastate Iran as much as anyone relying on that oil. His latest comments suggest that, despite that logic, Iran's leadership has continued taking actions that risk exactly that kind of self-inflicted damage.

For Vance and the broader administration, framing Iran's leadership as erratic and strategically incoherent serves a clear communications purpose: it reinforces the idea that the war is being fought against an opponent who isn't operating rationally, making continued US pressure seem both necessary and justified. At the same time, Vance has tried to reassure the public that progress is being made, at one point touting a "record-breaking" amount of oil moving through the strait despite Iranian threats to shut it down entirely. Whether Iran's actions reflect genuine strategic confusion, as Vance suggests, or a calculated attempt to raise the costs of the conflict for the US and its allies, the vice president's blunt assessment adds another layer to an already unpredictable and closely watched six-month war.