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ECONOMY IN OVERDRIVE: Bessent Declares A Manufacturing Building Boom

September 27th,

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Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent declared that the US economy has entered what he called an "acceleration phase," telling an interviewer, "We are seeing a boom like we have not seen for more than a decade in non-structure construction, factory building, a manufacturing boom." It's a message Bessent has repeated for months, previously telling the Senate Finance Committee the country is experiencing a "manufacturing renaissance," pointing to new factory projects from Boeing, John Deere, and reshoring pharmaceutical companies, and crediting Trump-era tax cuts and full-expensing provisions for tilting corporate investment decisions toward the United States. Nonresidential construction spending has indeed surged, up nearly 15 percent year-to-date through mid-2026, a genuinely strong headline number that lends some credibility to Bessent's framing. Manufacturing employment has also modestly recovered after bottoming out late last year, adding tens of thousands of jobs in recent months, even if the pace remains far short of a historic hiring wave.

The fuller picture, however, complicates Bessent's specific claim of a "factory building" and "manufacturing" construction boom. Independent industry data shows that the nonresidential construction surge has been driven almost entirely by data center construction, which has grown by well over 100 percent this year, while actual manufacturing construction spending has declined sharply, down somewhere between 20 and 32 percent year-over-year depending on the measure, as the factory-building wave from 2022 to 2024 tapers toward completion. In other words, the broader construction boom Bessent describes is real, but it looks less like a factory renaissance and more like an AI-driven data center buildout, with traditional manufacturing plant construction actually cooling rather than accelerating. That distinction matters for how voters and investors should interpret the administration's economic messaging, even as job growth in goods-producing sectors offers Bessent at least a partial data point to support his broader optimism.