A newly released Wall Street Journal (WSJ) poll is making waves in political circles — not for showing anything particularly shocking, but for what isn’t changing.

According to WSJ’s Aaron Zitner, who analyzed the data from the July 16–20 survey, President Trump’s approval rating remains steady heading into the final stretch before the 2025 elections. And for Democrats, that consistency might be the most worrying sign of all.

A Resilient Base, a Clear Agenda

Despite months of intense scrutiny, legal drama, and a wave of controversial policy moves, Trump’s approval rating is holding firm, with no signs of weakening among his base or swing voters who backed him in 2020.

Among the standout findings:

• Approval Rating: Trump’s favorability remains in the low-to-mid 40% range, nearly unchanged from earlier in the year.
• Tariffs: A majority of respondents support Trump’s trade stance, including new tariffs on Chinese imports and his renegotiation of trade deals like the recently announced U.S.–Japan agreement.
• The “Big Beautiful Bill”: A growing number of voters are warming up to Trump’s legislative centerpiece, which combines immigration reform, infrastructure investment, and tax restructuring.
• Immigration: His "flood the zone" strategy on border enforcement is viewed positively by voters concerned about illegal immigration and urban crime rates.

Why This Should Worry Democrats

The most “dangerous” number for Democrats, according to analysts, is not any single statistic — it’s the trend: Trump is not losing support. Despite relentless media coverage and partisan attacks, his core coalition remains intact, and moderate voters are not defecting in large numbers.

This suggests a deep alignment between Trump’s message and the priorities of many working- and middle-class Americans, especially on issues like jobs, manufacturing, national security, and economic self-reliance.

What’s Next

Democrats now face a dilemma: how to counter a candidate whose base is solid, whose platform is increasingly clear, and whose polling numbers — while not sky-high — refuse to fall.

With the election season heating up, both parties are watching this data closely. But if these numbers hold through the fall, it could signal a tough road ahead for the Democratic ticket.